Climate Vulnerability Assessments
For marine fisheries, the selected species were:
- Australian bonito (Sarda australis)
- Common dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus)
- Australian spotted mackerel (Scomberomorus munroi)
- Narrow-barred Spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus commerson)
- Yellowtail kingfish (Seriola lalandi)
Visit each page for more information about the species and to view its factsheet and results report.
Results
The Climate Vulnerability Assessment assessed the historical and future climate suitability for each commodity across NSW. These assessments considered changes in suitability between the historical (1993-2012) and future projection (2040-2059) periods, reported separately for two emissions scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
Maps of historical and future climate suitability for marine fisheries were produced. These help us identify where along the NSW coast marine fisheries are likely to thrive or else be limited. The maps are provided in the results reports for each commodity, and these reports also provide an interpretation of the drivers behind changes in climate suitability.
Care should be taken when interpreting these results. The Climate Vulnerability Assessment is intended to highlight potential changes in future climate suitability at industry and regional levels. It is not designed to be interpreted at the scale of individual holdings.
For more information on assumptions and exclusions for individual models, please refer to the results reports. For a detailed description of the methodology, modelling approach and data used in the Climate Vulnerability Assessment, please refer to the methodology summary page.
Data release
The data underpinning each assessment is available online through the NSW Sharing and Enabling Environmental Data (SEED) portal, via the Climate Vulnerability Assessment page.
Factsheets
Bonito factsheet
PDF, 636.35 KB
Dolphinfish factsheet
PDF, 648.77 KB
Kingfish factsheet
PDF, 852.91 KB
Spanish mackerel factsheet
PDF, 1080.97 KB
Spotted mackerel factsheet
PDF, 636.23 KB
Publications
Champion, C., Lawson, J.R., Pardoe, J. et al. Multi-criteria analysis for rapid vulnerability assessment of marine species to climate change. Climatic Change 176, 99 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03577-2