Climate Vulnerability Assessments
For Biosecurity Risks, the following were selected:
Crop diseases
- Fusarium wilt (Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. vasinfectum)
- Sclerotinia stem rot (Sclerotinia sclerotiorum)
- Verticillium wilt (Verticillium dahliae)
- Wheat stem rust (Puccinia graminis f. sp. tritici)
- Wheat stripe rust (Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici)
- Xylella* (Xylella fastidiosa)
Horticultural pests
- Oriental fruit fly* (Bactrocera dorsalis)
- Queensland fruit fly (Bactrocera tryoni)
- Serpentine leafminer (Liriomyza huidobrensis)
Invasive weeds
Livestock parasites
- Biting midge (Culicoides brevitarsis)
- Buffalo fly (Haematobia exigua)
- Cattle tick (Rhipicephalus australis)
* not currently in NSW
Visit each page for more information about the biosecurity risk and to view its factsheet and results report.
Results
The Climate Vulnerability Assessment assessed the historical and future climate suitability for each commodity across NSW. These assessments considered changes in climate suitability between the historical (1981-2010) and future projection (2036-2065) periods, reported separately for two emissions scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
Maps of historical and future climate suitability for biosecurity risks were produced. These help us to identify where in NSW biosecurity risks are likely to thrive or else be limited by future climatic conditions. The maps are provided in the results reports for each commodity, and these reports also provide an interpretation of the drivers behind changes in climate suitability.
Care should be taken when interpreting these results. The Climate Vulnerability Assessment is intended to highlight potential changes in future climate suitability at the industry and regional levels. It is not designed to be interpreted at the scale of individual holdings.
For more information on assumptions and exclusions for individual models, please refer to the results reports. For a detailed description of the methodology, modelling approach and data used in the Climate Vulnerability Assessment, please refer to the methodology summary page.
Data release
The data underpinning each assessment is available online through the NSW Sharing and Enabling Environmental Data (SEED) portal, via the Climate Vulnerability Assessment page.
Factsheets
Biting midge factsheet
PDF, 261.64 KB
Buffalo fly factsheet
PDF, 351.41 KB
Cattle tick factsheet
PDF, 729.24 KB
Fusarium factsheet
PDF, 1985.53 KB
Oriental fruit fly factsheet
PDF, 362.26 KB
Parthenium weed factsheet
PDF, 356.78 KB
Queensland fruit fly
PDF, 262.96 KB
Sclerotinia stem rot factsheet
PDF, 346.45 KB
Serpentine leafminer
PDF, 381.81 KB
Serrated tussock factsheet
PDF, 489.67 KB
Verticillium factsheet
PDF, 293.66 KB
Wheat stem rust factsheet
PDF, 351.69 KB
Wheat stripe rust
PDF, 2071.45 KB
Xylella factsheet
PDF, 714.26 KB