May 2026

National outlook – June to August 2026

The official national outlook was released by the Bureau of Meteorology on 4 June 2026.

  • The rainfall outlook for June to August 2026 is likely below median across much of southern, central and eastern Australia, when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).
  • The rainfall outlook based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model has a moderate accuracy across Australia during the forecast period.
  • The maximum and minimum temperatures for June to August 2026 are likely to be above median across most of Australia, when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).
  • Temperature outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model has moderate (accuracy across most of Australia for the forecast period.